Predictive Value of Echocardiographic Pulmonary to Left Atrial Ratio for In-Hospital Death in Patients with COVID-19

Background: Echocardiographic Pulmonary to Left Atrial Ratio (ePLAR) represents an accurate and sensitive non-invasive tool to estimate the trans-pulmonary gradient. The prognostic value of ePLAR in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 remains unknown. We aimed to investigate the predictive value of ePLAR on in-hospital mortality in patients with COVID-19. Methods: One hundred consecutive patients admitted to two Italian institutions for COVID-19 undergoing early (<24 h) echocardiographic examination were included; ePLAR was determined from the maximum tricuspid regurgitation continuous wave Doppler velocity (m/s) divided by the transmitral E-wave: septal mitral annular Doppler Tissue Imaging e'-wave ratio (TRVmax/E:e'). The primary outcome measure was in-hospital death. Results: patients who died during hospitalization had at baseline a higher prevalence of tricuspid regurgitation, higher ePLAR, right-side pressures, lower Tricuspid Annular Plane Systolic Excursion (TAPSE)/ systolic Pulmonary Artery Pressure (sPAP) ratio and reduced inferior vena cava collapse than survivors. Patients with ePLAR > 0.28 m/s at baseline showed non-significant but markedly increased in-hospital mortality compared to those having ePLAR ≤ 0.28 m/s (27% vs. 10.8%, p = 0.055). Multivariate Cox regression showed that an ePLAR > 0.28 m/s was independently associated with an increased risk of death (HR 5.07, 95% CI 1.04-24.50, p = 0.043), particularly when associated with increased sPAP (p for interaction = 0.043). Conclusions: A high ePLAR value at baseline predicts in-hospital death in patients with COVID-19, especially in those with elevated pulmonary arterial pressure. These results support an early ePLAR assessment in patients admitted for COVID-19 to identify those at higher risk and potentially guide strategies of diagnosis and care.