Background: Early relapse in multiple myeloma (MM) is a major predictor of poor prognosis, regardless of cytogenetic risk or treatment intensity. Methods: Here we analyzed 1026 MM patients treated across 12 Italian hematology centers. FHR was defined as progression-free survival (PFS) ≤18 months in transplant-eligible (TE) and ≤12 months in non-transplant-eligible (NTE) patients. Logistic regression and ROC analysis were used to identify significant predictors of FHR and build a risk score. Results: FHR status was identified in 175 patients (17%). These patients had significantly shorter PFS (7 vs. 57.5 months) and overall survival (19 months vs. not reached; p < 0.001). FHR status was associated with higher median LDH, lower Hb level, higher creatinine level and lower platelets count. Modified EASIX formula was built by these significant continuous variables, to be tested in a logistic analysis: [(LDH × creatinine)/(Hb × PLT) × 100]. A significantly higher rate of FHR was found with a score > 2.0 (89% vs. 11%, p < 0.001). Multivariate logistic analysis selected the above formula, ECOG PS ≥ 2 and ISS III as factors associated with FHR. Scoring these variables according to OR, three groups of patients were segregated with a rate of FHR patients of 7%, 29.5%, and 63.5%, respectively. Treatment with anti-CD38 monoclonal antibodies was associated with lower FHR frequency. Conclusions: This study proposes a simple, clinically applicable model to identify FHR MM patients early in their disease course. However, very in-depth biological tools, not available in clinical practice, are needed to identify singularly risk of becoming FHR.
The Strange Case of Functional High-Risk Multiple Myeloma Patients: Is It Possible to Identify Them in Clinical Practice?
Liberatore, Carmine;
2025-01-01
Abstract
Background: Early relapse in multiple myeloma (MM) is a major predictor of poor prognosis, regardless of cytogenetic risk or treatment intensity. Methods: Here we analyzed 1026 MM patients treated across 12 Italian hematology centers. FHR was defined as progression-free survival (PFS) ≤18 months in transplant-eligible (TE) and ≤12 months in non-transplant-eligible (NTE) patients. Logistic regression and ROC analysis were used to identify significant predictors of FHR and build a risk score. Results: FHR status was identified in 175 patients (17%). These patients had significantly shorter PFS (7 vs. 57.5 months) and overall survival (19 months vs. not reached; p < 0.001). FHR status was associated with higher median LDH, lower Hb level, higher creatinine level and lower platelets count. Modified EASIX formula was built by these significant continuous variables, to be tested in a logistic analysis: [(LDH × creatinine)/(Hb × PLT) × 100]. A significantly higher rate of FHR was found with a score > 2.0 (89% vs. 11%, p < 0.001). Multivariate logistic analysis selected the above formula, ECOG PS ≥ 2 and ISS III as factors associated with FHR. Scoring these variables according to OR, three groups of patients were segregated with a rate of FHR patients of 7%, 29.5%, and 63.5%, respectively. Treatment with anti-CD38 monoclonal antibodies was associated with lower FHR frequency. Conclusions: This study proposes a simple, clinically applicable model to identify FHR MM patients early in their disease course. However, very in-depth biological tools, not available in clinical practice, are needed to identify singularly risk of becoming FHR.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.
