Propionyl Carnitine Metabolic Profile: Optimizing the Newborn Screening Strategy Through Customized Cut-Offs

Background: The advent of tandem mass spectrometry (MS/MS) had an essential role in the expansion of newborn screening (NBS) for different inborn errors of metabolism (IEMs). Nowadays, almost 50 IEMs are screened in Italy. The use of second-tier tests (2-TTs) in NBS minimizes the false positive rate; nevertheless, the metabolic profile is influenced not only by the genome but also by environmental factors and clinical variables. We reviewed the MS/MS NBS data from over 37,000 newborns (of which 8% required 2-TTs) screened in the Italian Abruzzo region to evaluate the impact of neonatal and maternal variables on propionate-related primary biomarker levels. Methods: Expanded NBS and 2-TT analyses were performed using MS/MS and liquid chromatography–MS/MS methods. We set up layered cut-offs dividing all 37,000 newborns into categories. Statistical analysis was used to create alarm thresholds for NBS-positive samples. Statistically significant differences were found in both neonatal and maternal conditions based on the 2-TTs carried out. According to the stratified cut-offs, only 1.47% of the newborns would have required a 2-TT while still retaining the ability to recognize the true-positive case of methylmalonic acidemia with homocystinuria, which has been identified by NBS. To further support the clinical applicability, we performed an external evaluation considering nine positive cases from an extra-regional neonatal population, confirming the potential of our model. Interestingly, the setting of alarm thresholds and their application would allow for establishing the degree of priority/urgency for 2-TTs. Conclusions: Tailoring NBS by customized cut-offs may enhance the application of precision medicine, focusing on true-positive cases and also reducing analysis costs and times.